SA’s vision of a thriving agricultural sector
September 20, 2021
Tracy Davids and Ferdi Meyer wrote an opinion piece in the Business Day. The article is available here.
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Access the Baseline 2022 publication through the BFAP Baseline Site. Click Here to download
Meat price increases were repeatedly highlighted in the domestic food inflation statistics in 2022. In this brief, Dr. Tracy Davids explores the direct and indirect drivers of this phenomenon and the prospects for normalisation in future. Download here to read the full brief.
THE BFAP BASELINE 2012 presents an outlook of Southern African agricultural production, consumption, prices and trade for the period 2012 to 2021. This outlook is based on assumptions about a range of economic, technological, environmental, political, institutional, and social factors. The outlook is generated by the BFAP sector model, which is an econometric, recursive, partial equilibrium model.
The 2015 edition of the BFAP Baseline presents an outlook of agricultural production, consumption, prices and trade
in South Africa for the period 2015 to 2024 and relates these results to policy and decision making in a turbulent
macro-economic environment.
The following videos of the event are available: The full launch Presentation by Ferdi Meyer (fostering growth and sustainability of inclusive food value chains) Presentation by Tracy Davids (overview of BFAP Baseline – markets, profitability & food prices) Panel discussion (moving from plans to action and successful implementation) Side discussions were also recorded, delving deeper into the specifics […]
September 20, 2021
Tracy Davids and Ferdi Meyer wrote an opinion piece in the Business Day. The article is available here.
September 17, 2021
The 2021 edition of the BFAP Baseline was launched on 15 September 2021. The Baseline presents an outlook of agricultural and agro-processing production, consumption, prices and trade for the period 2021 to 2030. It considers the performance of South African agriculture and agro-processing and their contribution to inclusive growth and economic prosperity in the South […]
THE 2018 EDITION of the BFAP South African Baseline presents an outlook of agricultural production, consumption, prices and trade in South Africa for the period 2018 to 2027, within the context of the current uncertainty regarding land reform policies…
The 2016 edition of the BFAP Baseline presents an outlook of agricultural production, consumption, prices and trade in South Africa for the period 2016 to 2025 and relates these to potential actions aimed at increasing the agricultural sector’s contribution to economic growth.
THE BFAP BASELINE 2012 presents an outlook of Southern African agricultural production, consumption, prices and trade for the period 2012 to 2021. This outlook is based on assumptions about a range of economic, technological, environmental, political, institutional, and social factors. The outlook is generated by the BFAP sector model, which is an econometric, recursive, partial equilibrium model.
THE 2014 EDITION of the BFAP Baseline is set within a turbulent macroeconomic environment. South Africa’s economic growth slowed to the lowest level in almost 5 years in 2013 and following continued labour unrest, particularly in the mining sector, the first quarter of 2014 marked a contraction of the economy for the first time since 2009.
November 26, 2020
The latest version of our ten year outlook is available here now. You can also watch recordings of the launch here.
Dr. Tracy Davids gives and overview of the 10 year outlook for the South African agricultural sector – Watch the interview.
The 2017 edition of the BFAP South African Baseline presents an outlook of agricultural production, consumption, prices and trade in South Africa for the period 2017 to 2026 and relates these to the agricultural sector’s footprint, and hence contribution, in the South African economy.